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AI Weather Center

Dozens of signals across markets, labor, research velocity, developer activity, and macro conditions — synthesized into a live reading of AI-industry health.

Signals refreshed: 9/16/2026, 3:18:03 AM
ADVISORYAI Layoff Wave Advisory

Recent tech-sector workforce reductions have picked up. This can be a healthy reallocation of talent or an early sign of margin pressure — the follow-through in hiring signals is what matters most.

10Y-2Y yield spread

Inverted (negative) = recession warning

Sep 13Mar 15Sep 11Mar 12Sep 8-1-1011

VIX · volatility

Fear priced into the S&P 500

Sep 12Mar 14Sep 11Mar 12Sep 8015304560

Fed Funds Rate

Policy rate · cost of capital

Sep 1Mar 1Sep 1Mar 1Sep 145555

CPI · headline inflation

Consumer Price Index (all urban)

Sep 1Mar 1Sep 1Mar 1Sep 1301308315322329

NASDAQ Composite

Tech-heavy index · long-view

Sep 13Mar 14Sep 11Mar 12Sep 813K15K18K20K23K

S&P 500

Broad market benchmark

Sep 13Mar 14Sep 11Mar 12Sep 84K5K5K6K7K

Financial conditions (NFCI)

0 = neutral · positive = tighter than average · negative = looser

Jul 28Oct 13Dec 29Mar 15May 31Aug 16Nov 1Jan 17Apr 4Jun 20Sep 5-1-0-0-0-0

The AI Weather Center is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or professional advice. Data is sourced from third-party providers and is not guaranteed to be accurate, complete, or current. Composite scores, forecasts, and derived indices are algorithmic interpretations and should not be relied upon for investment, employment, or business decisions. Past performance of indicators is not indicative of future results. Kallisti Solutions assumes no liability for any actions taken based on the information presented here.

Composite readings, derived indices, and alerts are Kallisti's editorial synthesis of public-market and public-web signals. No client, private, or proprietary customer data appears on this page.

Macroeconomic data sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) and Yahoo Finance. Workforce-reduction data used with attribution to Layoffs.fyi. Research volume from arXiv; developer signals from HackerNews (via Algolia) and StackOverflow. Public-interest signals from Google Trends. All sources used under their respective terms of service or public-facing APIs.

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