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AI Weather Center

Dozens of signals across markets, labor, research velocity, developer activity, and macro conditions — synthesized into a live reading of AI-industry health.

Signals refreshed: 10/25/2026, 3:47:34 AM
ADVISORYAI Layoff Wave Advisory

Recent tech-sector workforce reductions have picked up. This can be a healthy reallocation of talent or an early sign of margin pressure — the follow-through in hiring signals is what matters most.

10Y-2Y yield spread

Inverted (negative) = recession warning

Oct 19Apr 22Oct 17Apr 11Oct 14-1-1011

VIX · volatility

Fear priced into the S&P 500

Oct 19Apr 23Oct 17Apr 11Oct 14015304560

Fed Funds Rate

Policy rate · cost of capital

Oct 1Apr 1Oct 1Apr 1Oct 144556

CPI · headline inflation

Consumer Price Index (all urban)

Aug 1Jan 1Jun 1Nov 1Apr 1Sep 1305310315320325

NASDAQ Composite

Tech-heavy index · long-view

Oct 19Apr 22Oct 17Apr 11Oct 1412K15K18K21K24K

S&P 500

Broad market benchmark

Oct 19Apr 22Oct 17Apr 11Oct 144K5K6K6K7K

Financial conditions (NFCI)

0 = neutral · positive = tighter than average · negative = looser

Sep 15Dec 1Feb 9Apr 26Jul 5Sep 20Dec 6Feb 21May 9Jul 25Oct 10-1-0-0-0-0

The AI Weather Center is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or professional advice. Data is sourced from third-party providers and is not guaranteed to be accurate, complete, or current. Composite scores, forecasts, and derived indices are algorithmic interpretations and should not be relied upon for investment, employment, or business decisions. Past performance of indicators is not indicative of future results. Kallisti Solutions assumes no liability for any actions taken based on the information presented here.

Composite readings, derived indices, and alerts are Kallisti's editorial synthesis of public-market and public-web signals. No client, private, or proprietary customer data appears on this page.

Macroeconomic data sourced from FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) and Yahoo Finance. Workforce-reduction data used with attribution to Layoffs.fyi. Research volume from arXiv; developer signals from HackerNews (via Algolia) and StackOverflow. Public-interest signals from Google Trends. All sources used under their respective terms of service or public-facing APIs.

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